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What is pressure Probability?

  • Pressure Probability is a new machine-learning powered metric measuring pressure for every pass rusher for every second of every pass play.

  • 4 new AI models were developed based on more than 90,000 passing plays over the last 5 years of NFL games.

  • Using sensor data from the entire play, the AWS team first had to identify defensive rushers, offensive blockers and how they’d match up against each other.

  • The AI model measures how quickly a pressure occurs, the magnitude of pressure and how it changes over the play.

  • Other factors include how clear a path the rusher has to the quarterback and how the quarterback reacts to an oncoming rusher.